Dukla Prague – Ostrava B

ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · full time 3-2 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.83	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.80	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.72	−4.4%
Betfair (net)	1.77	−1.9%
bet365	1.71	−5.2%

€144 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.16	4.93	4.33	3.90
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.71	4.12	3.94	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.83	1.80	1.77	1.71
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.60	1.71	1.65	1.57
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.67	2.40	2.29	2.15
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.48	2.86	2.60	2.62
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.68	1.54	1.50	1.41
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.79	2.64	2.46	2.32
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.56	1.61	1.61	1.49
Both teams to score · No	2.58	2.40	2.27	2.15
Both teams to score · Yes	1.64	1.72	1.65	1.57

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.