Gyor – Puskas Academy

NB I., Hungary · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 0-1 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.95	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.49	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.39	−3.9%
Betfair (net)	2.44	−1.8%
bet365	2.30	−7.6%

€118 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.71	2.94	2.73	2.65
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.65	3.88	3.71	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.95	2.49	2.44	2.30
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.07	1.64	1.59	1.53
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.93	2.56	2.42	2.20
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.77	2.57	2.52	2.32
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.36	1.64	1.57	1.49
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.31	2.49	2.31	2.20
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.43	1.67	1.67	1.53
Both teams to score · No	2.06	2.87	2.54	2.45
Both teams to score · Yes	1.94	1.53	1.53	1.46

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.