Ellas Syrou – Niki Volos

Super League 2, Greece · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · full time 0-1 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.69	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.06	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.76	−9.7%
Betfair (net)	2.95	−3.5%
bet365	3.00	−1.8%

€69 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.85	2.61	2.52	2.40
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.69	3.06	2.95	3.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.13	3.46	3.14	3.00
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.47	2.45	2.33	2.40
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.68	1.69	1.58	1.50

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.