Olympiacos Piraeus B – Asteras Tripolis B

Super League 2, Greece · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · full time 1-1 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.98	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.67	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.47	−7.5%
Betfair (net)	2.63	−1.4%
bet365	2.55	−4.5%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.92	2.86	2.79	2.65
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.16	3.62	3.14	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.98	2.67	2.63	2.55
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.92	2.30	2.16	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.09	1.77	1.73	1.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.19	3.37	3.14	—
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.46	1.42	1.37	—

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.