Harju JK Laagri – Nomme Utd

Meistriliiga, Estonia · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · full time 2-0 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	5.52	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.43	ruler
Pinnacle offered	4.04	−8.8%
Betfair (net)	4.42	−0.2%
bet365	3.80	−14.2%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.30	3.71	3.38	3.30
Full time 1X2 · Draw	5.52	4.43	4.42	3.80
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.71	1.98	1.92	1.79
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.07	2.11	2.03	1.91
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.93	1.90	1.81	1.81
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.20	2.08	2.04	1.91
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.83	1.92	1.82	1.81
Both teams to score · No	2.88	3.23	2.75	2.70
Both teams to score · Yes	1.53	1.45	1.48	1.37

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.