Meistriliiga · price tracker
The record since 2026-10-11: how often Betfair (net of 5% commission) or bet365 stood at least 3% above Pinnacle’s fair price for 3+ minutes in the last two hours, and what those prices were worth against Pinnacle’s close.
Matches tracked
7
Estonia
Gaps flagged
2
2 settled
Mean value vs close
−16.3%
95% CI −26.0% to −6.5%
Flat-stake P/L
−2.00u
0 won of 2
By market
| Market | Matches with Betfair | Gaps / 100 | Median length | Median € | Mean value vs close | Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full time 1X2 | 7 | 28.6 | 52.5 min | €47 | −16.3% | 2 |
| Over/under 2.5 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Over/under 3.5 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Half time over/under 1.5 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
Paper record: every flagged gap, losses included
How it is scored| Date | Match | Market · outcome | Venue | Price taken | Pinnacle fair close | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Levadia – Paide | Full time 1X2 · Draw | Betfair | 4.51 | 5.73 | −21.2% | lost · 1-0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Levadia – Paide | Full time 1X2 · Draw | Betfair | 5.08 | 5.73 | −11.3% | lost · 1-0 |
A small sample says little: an interval that crosses zero means “not shown yet”.
Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.