Teplice – Sigma Olomouc

Chance Liga, Czech-Republic · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · full time 1-1 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.80	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.69	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.59	−3.8%
Betfair (net)	2.60	−3.6%
bet365	2.45	−9.0%

€86 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.80	2.69	2.60	2.45
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.60	3.60	3.38	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.73	2.85	2.75	2.57
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.99	2.01	1.98	1.91
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.02	1.99	1.90	1.81
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.53	3.63	3.52	3.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.40	1.38	1.34	1.30
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.03	3.13	2.88	2.70
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.49	1.47	1.46	1.37
Both teams to score · No	2.25	2.28	2.16	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	1.80	1.78	1.74	1.71

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.