Chance Liga · price tracker
The record since 2026-10-11: how often Betfair (net of 5% commission) or bet365 stood at least 3% above Pinnacle’s fair price for 3+ minutes in the last two hours, and what those prices were worth against Pinnacle’s close.
Matches tracked
4
Czech-Republic
Gaps flagged
1
1 settled
Mean value vs close
−5.5%
too few gaps for an interval
Flat-stake P/L
+5.51u
1 won of 1
By market
| Market | Matches with Betfair | Gaps / 100 | Median length | Median € | Mean value vs close | Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full time 1X2 | 4 | 25 | 5 min | €4 | −5.5% | 1 |
| Over/under 2.5 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Over/under 3.5 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Half time over/under 1.5 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
Paper record: every flagged gap, losses included
How it is scored| Date | Match | Market · outcome | Venue | Price taken | Pinnacle fair close | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Liberec – Slovacko | Full time 1X2 · Away | Betfair | 6.51 | 6.89 | −5.5% | won · 0-2 |
A small sample says little: an interval that crosses zero means “not shown yet”.
Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.