Liberec – Slovacko

Chance Liga, Czech-Republic · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · full time 0-2 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	6.81	ref
Pinnacle fair	6.89	ruler
Pinnacle offered	6.18	−10.3%
Betfair (net)	6.89	+0.1%
bet365	5.75	−16.5%

€151 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

Venue	Opened	Lasted	Peak vs fair	€ at best price	Price taken	vs Pinnacle close	Result
Betfair	-35 min	5 min	+3.2%	€4	6.51	−5.5%	won

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	6.81	6.89	6.89	5.75	5
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.88	5.19	4.51	3.80	0
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.68	1.51	1.48	1.47	0
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.39	1.82	1.76	1.69	0
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.72	2.23	2.13	2.04	0
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.72	3.22	2.98	2.75	0
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.27	1.45	1.44	1.37	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.59	2.88	2.63	2.50	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.39	1.53	1.54	1.47	0
Both teams to score · No	1.71	1.96	1.93	1.87	0
Both teams to score · Yes	2.41	2.04	1.95	1.87	0

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.