Sparta Prague – FK Pardubice

Chance Liga, Czech-Republic · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · full time 2-0 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.40	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.48	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.45	−2.2%
Betfair (net)	1.44	−2.8%
bet365	1.33	−10.1%

€57 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	9.68	7.49	7.08	7.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	5.54	5.26	5.08	4.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.40	1.48	1.44	1.33
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.62	1.59	1.56	1.54
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.61	2.71	2.53	2.35
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.54	2.53	2.42	2.20
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.65	1.66	1.60	1.53
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.80	2.45	2.31	2.20
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.56	1.69	1.66	1.58
Both teams to score · No	2.04	2.28	2.10	2.01
Both teams to score · Yes	1.97	1.78	1.74	1.66

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.