U. Cluj – FC Rapid Bucuresti

Liga 1, Romania · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · full time 3-4 (HT 1-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.79	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.73	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.62	−3.9%
Betfair (net)	2.62	−4.1%
bet365	2.32	−14.9%

€298 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.79	2.73	2.62	2.32
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.57	3.46	3.28	3.25
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.19	2.91	2.77	2.55
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.42	1.99	1.94	1.86
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.71	2.01	1.95	1.86
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.80	3.53	3.38	3.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.26	1.40	1.37	1.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.04	3.10	2.84	2.70
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.33	1.48	1.47	1.37
Both teams to score · No	1.87	2.33	2.20	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	2.15	1.75	1.73	1.68

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.