Csikszereda M. Ciuc – Univ. Craiova

Liga 1, Romania · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · full time 0-1 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.53	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.26	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.24	−1.9%
Betfair (net)	1.27	+0.5%
bet365	1.19	−5.6%

€93 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	1.53	1.26	1.27	1.19
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.83	6.95	5.94	5.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	7.07	16.05	14.30	9.50
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.82	1.61	1.60	1.49
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.22	2.65	2.48	2.32
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.07	2.57	2.48	1.49
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.48	1.64	1.58	2.32
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.59	2.41	2.25	2.15
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.63	1.71	1.65	1.57
Both teams to score · No	1.98	1.83	1.70	1.62
Both teams to score · Yes	2.02	2.21	2.16	2.05

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.