Valladolid – Albacete

La Liga2, Spain · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · full time 5-0 (HT 4-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.48	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.99	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.94	−2.2%
Betfair (net)	1.93	−2.8%
bet365	1.81	−8.9%

€2122 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.17	4.65	4.33	4.33
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.55	3.55	3.47	3.30
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.48	1.99	1.93	1.81
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.38	2.15	2.02	1.96
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.73	1.87	1.87	1.76
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.69	3.96	3.63	3.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.27	1.34	1.33	1.30
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.35	3.38	3.04	2.75
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.43	1.42	1.42	1.37
Both teams to score · No	1.92	2.04	2.03	1.79
Both teams to score · Yes	2.08	1.96	1.83	1.79

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.