Norrkoping – Sundsvall

Superettan, Sweden · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 4-0 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.26	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.20	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.18	−1.7%
Betfair (net)	1.19	−1.2%
bet365	1.13	−6.1%

€9 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	18.73	16.03	18.57	15.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	6.64	9.35	7.84	6.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.26	1.20	1.19	1.13
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.84	1.45	1.45	1.37
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.19	3.21	2.95	2.87
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.12	2.18	2.12	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.47	1.85	1.78	1.68
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.23	2.18	2.06	2.01
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.81	1.84	1.82	1.71
Both teams to score · No	1.53	1.81	1.75	1.66
Both teams to score · Yes	2.88	2.23	2.16	2.01

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.