Altach – Wolfsberger AC

Bundesliga, Austria · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · full time 3-0 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.91	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.98	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.93	−2.3%
Betfair (net)	1.94	−1.9%
bet365	1.90	−4.0%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.85	4.15	3.85	3.90
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.27	3.94	3.75	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.91	1.98	1.94	1.90
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.35	1.76	1.70	1.66
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.74	2.32	2.25	2.10
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.59	2.89	2.77	2.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.28	1.53	1.49	1.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.41	2.72	2.52	2.50
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.42	1.58	1.56	1.50
Both teams to score · No	2.00	2.51	2.35	2.20
Both teams to score · Yes	2.00	1.66	1.63	1.61

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.