AC Oulu – HJK

Veikkausliiga, Finland · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · full time 3-4 (HT 0-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.82	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.75	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.71	−2.1%
Betfair (net)	1.71	−1.9%
bet365	1.61	−7.7%

€660 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	1.82	1.75	1.71	1.61
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.36	4.20	3.94	3.80
Full time 1X2 · Home	4.55	5.30	4.89	4.50
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.78	1.86	1.84	1.68
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.29	2.17	2.05	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.95	3.16	3.11	2.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.51	1.46	1.41	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.56	2.88	2.73	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.39	1.53	1.50	1.41
Both teams to score · No	2.27	2.22	2.06	1.91
Both teams to score · Yes	1.79	1.82	1.80	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.