Elfsborg – Halmstad

Allsvenskan, Sweden · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 4-0 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.56	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.43	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.40	−1.9%
Betfair (net)	1.41	−1.3%
bet365	1.37	−4.0%

€1575 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	7.16	8.29	7.65	6.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.58	5.61	5.18	5.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.56	1.43	1.41	1.37
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.08	1.61	1.56	1.50
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.92	2.65	2.56	2.40
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.81	2.58	2.42	2.20
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.36	1.63	1.61	1.53
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.46	2.46	2.29	2.15
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.41	1.68	1.66	1.57
Both teams to score · No	1.78	2.17	2.08	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	2.28	1.85	1.82	1.71

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.