Torino – Udinese

Serie A, Italy · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · full time 2-1 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.64	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.46	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.40	−2.5%
Betfair (net)	2.41	−2.2%
bet365	—	—

€3710 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.90	3.65	3.42	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.62	3.13	3.04	3.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.64	2.46	2.41	—
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.20	2.41	2.28	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.83	1.71	1.68	1.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.62	3.74	3.38	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.38	1.36	1.36	1.30
Both teams to score · No	2.04	2.02	1.97	1.86
Both teams to score · Yes	1.96	1.98	1.91	1.86

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.