Como – AS Roma

Serie A, Italy · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · full time 0-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.84	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.33	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.27	−2.4%
Betfair (net)	2.27	−2.2%
bet365	2.20	−5.4%

€992 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.67	3.29	3.09	3.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.66	3.76	3.56	3.70
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.84	2.33	2.27	2.20
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.22	1.59	1.55	1.57
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.82	2.71	2.60	2.25
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.20	2.42	2.31	2.15
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.31	1.71	1.67	1.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.49	2.39	2.31	2.15
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.40	1.72	1.66	1.57
Both teams to score · No	2.02	3.08	2.86	2.57
Both teams to score · Yes	1.98	1.48	1.46	1.41

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.