Levante – Sevilla

La Liga, Spain · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · full time 3-3 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.41	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.59	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.53	−2.3%
Betfair (net)	2.52	−2.7%
bet365	2.70	+4.2%

€360 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.41	2.59	2.52	2.70
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.00	3.39	3.23	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.19	3.14	3.00	2.70
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.84	2.21	2.13	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.19	1.83	1.79	1.68
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.13	4.19	3.94	4.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.47	1.31	1.29	1.22
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.81	3.49	3.14	3.00
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.55	1.40	1.39	1.33
Both teams to score · No	2.33	2.15	2.06	1.87
Both teams to score · Yes	1.75	1.87	1.80	1.87

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.