Betis – Osasuna

La Liga, Spain · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · full time 5-2 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.73	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.51	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.49	−1.4%
Betfair (net)	1.49	−0.9%
bet365	1.45	−3.8%

€6493 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	5.28	7.50	6.89	6.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.28	4.91	4.61	4.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.73	1.51	1.49	1.45
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.98	1.63	1.61	1.53
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.02	2.59	2.46	2.32
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.51	2.60	2.55	2.57
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.40	1.62	1.57	1.46
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.87	2.53	2.39	2.20
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.53	1.66	1.64	1.53
Both teams to score · No	2.00	2.26	2.12	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	2.00	1.80	1.76	1.71

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.