K League 1 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Seoul | 28 | 59 | 48.5 | +10.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.3 | +8.2 | 1:4 vs Ulsan HD (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.9) |
2 | Jeju SK | 28 | 42 | 33.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | +1.1 | +7.4 | 0:1 vs Daejeon (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Anyang (-1.5) |
3 | Ulsan HD | 28 | 44 | 41.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 5 | +0.3 | +2.1 | 1:3 vs Seoul (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Daejeon (-1.6) |
4 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 28 | 31 | 29.3 | +1.7On expectation | 11 | -2.2 | +3.9 | 2:3 vs Jeonbuk (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Jeju SK (-1.3) |
5 | Anyang | 28 | 34 | 33.9 | +0.1On expectation | 9 | -4.0 | +4.1 | 2:1 vs Incheon (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.7) |
6 | Incheon | 27 | 37 | 37.7 | -0.7On expectation | 6 | -3.1 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Jeonbuk (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Anyang (-1.7) |
7 | Pohang | 28 | 36 | 37.5 | -1.5On expectation | 7 | -5.1 | +3.6 | 0:2 vs Daejeon (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Jeju SK (-1.8) |
8 | Gangwon | 27 | 41 | 42.9 | -1.9On expectation | 4 | -3.1 | +1.1 | 2:3 vs Ulsan HD (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.0) |
9 | Jeonbuk | 28 | 43 | 45.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 2 | +0.0 | -2.9 | 0:1 vs Daejeon (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.2) |
10 | Daejeon | 28 | 38 | 43.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 3 | -5.8 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Seoul (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Jeju SK (-1.9) |
11 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 28 | 29 | 36.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 8 | -6.4 | -1.3 | 2:3 vs Seoul (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Incheon (-1.5) |
12 | Gwangju FC | 28 | 13 | 23.6 | -10.6Underperforming −− | 12 | -6.7 | -3.9 | 3:2 vs Incheon (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Pohang (-1.2) |
