K League 1 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Seoul | 33 | 67 | 57.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.3 | +7.8 | 1:2 vs Gangwon (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Pohang (-1.9) |
2 | Jeju SK | 33 | 46 | 39.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 10 | +1.1 | +5.8 | 0:1 vs Daejeon (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Anyang (-1.5) |
3 | Anyang | 33 | 43 | 39.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 9 | -2.1 | +5.3 | 2:1 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.7) |
4 | Incheon | 33 | 46 | 45.3 | +0.7On expectation | 6 | -0.2 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Jeonbuk (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Anyang (-1.7) |
5 | Ulsan HD | 33 | 51 | 50.9 | +0.1On expectation | 5 | +1.8 | -1.6 | 1:3 vs Seoul (+2.1) | 4:3 vs Gwangju FC (-1.9) |
6 | Pohang | 33 | 42 | 43.2 | -1.2On expectation | 7 | -3.5 | +2.4 | 2:1 vs Seoul (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Jeju SK (-1.8) |
7 | Daejeon | 33 | 49 | 51.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 4 | -4.1 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Seoul (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Jeju SK (-1.9) |
8 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 33 | 32 | 34.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 11 | -5.2 | +2.3 | 2:3 vs Jeonbuk (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Gwangju FC (-1.5) |
9 | Gangwon | 33 | 48 | 51.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 3 | -4.4 | +0.7 | 2:3 vs Ulsan HD (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.0) |
10 | Jeonbuk | 33 | 48 | 53.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 2 | -1.0 | -4.9 | 0:1 vs Daejeon (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.2) |
11 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 21 | 28.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 12 | -4.8 | -2.2 | 4:3 vs Ulsan HD (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Pohang (-1.2) |
12 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 33 | 34 | 42.4 | -8.4Underperforming −− | 8 | -9.1 | +0.7 | 2:3 vs Seoul (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Incheon (-1.5) |
