K League 1 2024 Performance vs Market

Regular phase only. K League 1 splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Gangwon	33	55	43.5	+11.5Outperforming ++	7	+8.7	+2.8	2:3 vs Jeonbuk (+2.0)	2:3 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.5)
2	Gimcheon Sangmu	33	56	45.8	+10.2Outperforming ++	6	+8.5	+1.7	1:0 vs Jeonbuk (+1.9)	2:3 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)
3	Suwon FC	33	49	41.9	+7.1Outperforming ++	9	+1.0	+6.1	1:2 vs Gwangju FC (+2.0)	1:2 vs Daejeon (-1.7)
4	Ulsan HD	33	61	55.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	1	+8.5	-2.5	0:1 vs Gwangju FC (+1.7)	2:0 vs Jeonbuk (-1.8)
5	Seoul	33	50	47.0	+3.0Outperforming	4	+3.2	-0.2	1:2 vs Incheon (+1.9)	2:3 vs Daejeon (-1.9)
6	Pohang	33	51	48.1	+2.9Outperforming	2	+1.1	+1.8	0:1 vs Gwangju FC (+1.8)	1:2 vs Seoul (-1.5)
7	Jeju SK	33	41	39.9	+1.1On expectation	11	+7.4	-6.3	0:2 vs Gwangju FC (+2.0)	0:1 vs Incheon (-1.6)
8	Daejeon	33	35	37.3	-2.3Underperforming	12	+2.0	-4.3	2:3 vs Seoul (+2.1)	0:1 vs Jeju SK (-1.4)
9	Daegu	33	38	41.9	-3.9Underperforming	10	-1.6	-2.3	1:2 vs Seoul (+2.0)	0:1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.5)
10	Gwangju FC	33	43	48.1	-5.1Underperforming −−	3	+0.4	-5.4	0:1 vs Ulsan HD (+1.9)	0:2 vs Incheon (-1.8)
11	Jeonbuk	33	37	47.0	-9.9Underperforming −−	5	-2.5	-7.4	2:0 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0)	2:3 vs Gangwon (-1.7)
12	Incheon	33	32	42.9	-10.9Underperforming −−	8	-11.2	+0.3	0:2 vs Gwangju FC (+2.1)	0:1 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Gangwon	33	55	43.5	+11.5Outperforming ++	7	+8.7	+2.8	2:3 vs Jeonbuk (+2.0)	2:3 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.5)
2	Gimcheon Sangmu	33	56	45.8	+10.2Outperforming ++	6	+8.5	+1.7	1:0 vs Jeonbuk (+1.9)	2:3 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)
3	Suwon FC	33	49	41.9	+7.1Outperforming ++	9	+1.0	+6.1	1:2 vs Gwangju FC (+2.0)	1:2 vs Daejeon (-1.7)
4	Ulsan HD	33	61	55.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	1	+8.5	-2.5	0:1 vs Gwangju FC (+1.7)	2:0 vs Jeonbuk (-1.8)
5	Seoul	33	50	47.0	+3.0Outperforming	4	+3.2	-0.2	1:2 vs Incheon (+1.9)	2:3 vs Daejeon (-1.9)
6	Pohang	33	51	48.1	+2.9Outperforming	2	+1.1	+1.8	0:1 vs Gwangju FC (+1.8)	1:2 vs Seoul (-1.5)
7	Jeju SK	33	41	39.9	+1.1On expectation	11	+7.4	-6.3	0:2 vs Gwangju FC (+2.0)	0:1 vs Incheon (-1.6)
8	Daejeon	33	35	37.3	-2.3Underperforming	12	+2.0	-4.3	2:3 vs Seoul (+2.1)	0:1 vs Jeju SK (-1.4)
9	Daegu	33	38	41.9	-3.9Underperforming	10	-1.6	-2.3	1:2 vs Seoul (+2.0)	0:1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.5)
10	Gwangju FC	33	43	48.1	-5.1Underperforming −−	3	+0.4	-5.4	0:1 vs Ulsan HD (+1.9)	0:2 vs Incheon (-1.8)
11	Jeonbuk	33	37	47.0	-9.9Underperforming −−	5	-2.5	-7.4	2:0 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0)	2:3 vs Gangwon (-1.7)
12	Incheon	33	32	42.9	-10.9Underperforming −−	8	-11.2	+0.3	0:2 vs Gwangju FC (+2.1)	0:1 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)