K League 1 2023 Performance vs Market

Regular phase only. K League 1 splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Ulsan HD	33	67	58.5	+8.5Outperforming ++	1	+4.1	+4.4	0:1 vs Pohang (+1.7)	1:2 vs Incheon (-1.9)
2	Gwangju FC	33	54	46.1	+7.8Outperforming ++	5	+2.4	+5.4	0:2 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0)	0:2 vs Daegu (-1.8)
3	Daegu	33	49	42.6	+6.4Outperforming ++	8	+3.6	+2.8	0:2 vs Gwangju FC (+2.1)	1:0 vs Daejeon (-1.4)
4	Pohang	33	58	52.9	+5.1Outperforming ++	2	+7.9	-2.8	1:2 vs Jeonbuk (+1.8)	0:2 vs Incheon (-1.8)
5	Daejeon	33	45	40.4	+4.7Outperforming	9	+6.0	-1.3	1:2 vs Jeonbuk (+2.0)	0:1 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)
6	Incheon	33	48	44.0	+4.0Outperforming	6	+0.7	+3.3	1:2 vs Ulsan HD (+2.2)	0:1 vs Suwon Bluewings (-1.6)
7	Seoul	33	47	49.7	-2.7Underperforming	4	-1.8	-0.9	1:2 vs Jeju SK (+1.7)	0:1 vs Incheon (-1.7)
8	Suwon FC	33	31	33.9	-2.9Underperforming	12	-2.5	-0.5	0:1 vs Daejeon (+2.0)	0:3 vs Seoul (-1.3)
9	Jeonbuk	33	49	52.4	-3.4Underperforming	3	-0.1	-3.4	2:0 vs Ulsan HD (+1.9)	1:3 vs Gangwon (-1.9)
10	Jeju SK	33	35	43.5	-8.5Underperforming −−	7	-5.6	-2.9	0:1 vs Gwangju FC (+1.8)	1:2 vs Daegu (-1.5)
11	Gangwon	33	26	37.8	-11.8Underperforming −−	10	-8.7	-3.1	1:3 vs Jeonbuk (+2.2)	1:2 vs Suwon FC (-1.6)
12	Suwon Bluewings	33	25	37.8	-12.8Underperforming −−	11	-9.3	-3.4	3:1 vs Ulsan HD (+2.1)	2:1 vs Suwon FC (-1.6)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Ulsan HD	33	67	58.5	+8.5Outperforming ++	1	+4.1	+4.4	0:1 vs Pohang (+1.7)	1:2 vs Incheon (-1.9)
2	Gwangju FC	33	54	46.1	+7.8Outperforming ++	5	+2.4	+5.4	0:2 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0)	0:2 vs Daegu (-1.8)
3	Daegu	33	49	42.6	+6.4Outperforming ++	8	+3.6	+2.8	0:2 vs Gwangju FC (+2.1)	1:0 vs Daejeon (-1.4)
4	Pohang	33	58	52.9	+5.1Outperforming ++	2	+7.9	-2.8	1:2 vs Jeonbuk (+1.8)	0:2 vs Incheon (-1.8)
5	Daejeon	33	45	40.4	+4.7Outperforming	9	+6.0	-1.3	1:2 vs Jeonbuk (+2.0)	0:1 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)
6	Incheon	33	48	44.0	+4.0Outperforming	6	+0.7	+3.3	1:2 vs Ulsan HD (+2.2)	0:1 vs Suwon Bluewings (-1.6)
7	Seoul	33	47	49.7	-2.7Underperforming	4	-1.8	-0.9	1:2 vs Jeju SK (+1.7)	0:1 vs Incheon (-1.7)
8	Suwon FC	33	31	33.9	-2.9Underperforming	12	-2.5	-0.5	0:1 vs Daejeon (+2.0)	0:3 vs Seoul (-1.3)
9	Jeonbuk	33	49	52.4	-3.4Underperforming	3	-0.1	-3.4	2:0 vs Ulsan HD (+1.9)	1:3 vs Gangwon (-1.9)
10	Jeju SK	33	35	43.5	-8.5Underperforming −−	7	-5.6	-2.9	0:1 vs Gwangju FC (+1.8)	1:2 vs Daegu (-1.5)
11	Gangwon	33	26	37.8	-11.8Underperforming −−	10	-8.7	-3.1	1:3 vs Jeonbuk (+2.2)	1:2 vs Suwon FC (-1.6)
12	Suwon Bluewings	33	25	37.8	-12.8Underperforming −−	11	-9.3	-3.4	3:1 vs Ulsan HD (+2.1)	2:1 vs Suwon FC (-1.6)