K League 1 2022 Performance vs Market

Regular phase only. K League 1 splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Incheon	33	49	37.5	+11.5Outperforming ++	11	+4.7	+6.8	0:1 vs Jeju SK (+2.2)	3:1 vs Seongnam (-1.3)
2	Jeonbuk	33	61	53.4	+7.6Outperforming ++	2	-4.2	+11.8	1:3 vs Ulsan HD (+1.9)	3:1 vs Incheon (-1.6)
3	Ulsan HD	33	66	59.9	+6.1Outperforming ++	1	+5.1	+1.0	2:0 vs Pohang (+1.6)	2:0 vs Seongnam (-2.2)
4	Pohang	33	55	50.9	+4.1Outperforming	3	+4.1	+0.0	1:2 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0)	1:2 vs Seoul (-1.7)
5	Suwon FC	33	44	40.0	+4.0Outperforming	10	+5.2	-1.3	0:1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (+2.0)	2:4 vs Gangwon (-1.5)
6	Gangwon	33	45	41.1	+3.9Outperforming	8	+4.4	-0.5	2:4 vs Suwon FC (+1.8)	0:1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.8)
7	Jeju SK	33	46	49.6	-3.6Underperforming	4	-5.5	+1.9	0:2 vs Jeonbuk (+1.9)	0:1 vs Incheon (-1.9)
8	Seoul	33	41	46.0	-5.0Underperforming −−	5	-2.0	-3.0	1:2 vs Pohang (+1.9)	0:1 vs Seongnam (-1.9)
9	Suwon Bluewings	33	34	41.0	-7.0Underperforming −−	9	-1.6	-5.4	1:2 vs Daegu (+2.0)	1:0 vs Incheon (-1.5)
10	Seongnam	33	25	33.0	-8.1Underperforming −−	12	-4.5	-3.6	2:0 vs Ulsan HD (+2.4)	1:4 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.4)
11	Daegu	33	35	43.2	-8.2Underperforming −−	6	+1.4	-9.7	3:0 vs Seoul (+1.6)	1:2 vs Suwon Bluewings (-1.8)
12	Gimcheon Sangmu	33	34	42.3	-8.3Underperforming −−	7	-3.7	-4.5	0:1 vs Gangwon (+2.0)	0:1 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Incheon	33	49	37.5	+11.5Outperforming ++	11	+4.7	+6.8	0:1 vs Jeju SK (+2.2)	3:1 vs Seongnam (-1.3)
2	Jeonbuk	33	61	53.4	+7.6Outperforming ++	2	-4.2	+11.8	1:3 vs Ulsan HD (+1.9)	3:1 vs Incheon (-1.6)
3	Ulsan HD	33	66	59.9	+6.1Outperforming ++	1	+5.1	+1.0	2:0 vs Pohang (+1.6)	2:0 vs Seongnam (-2.2)
4	Pohang	33	55	50.9	+4.1Outperforming	3	+4.1	+0.0	1:2 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0)	1:2 vs Seoul (-1.7)
5	Suwon FC	33	44	40.0	+4.0Outperforming	10	+5.2	-1.3	0:1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (+2.0)	2:4 vs Gangwon (-1.5)
6	Gangwon	33	45	41.1	+3.9Outperforming	8	+4.4	-0.5	2:4 vs Suwon FC (+1.8)	0:1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.8)
7	Jeju SK	33	46	49.6	-3.6Underperforming	4	-5.5	+1.9	0:2 vs Jeonbuk (+1.9)	0:1 vs Incheon (-1.9)
8	Seoul	33	41	46.0	-5.0Underperforming −−	5	-2.0	-3.0	1:2 vs Pohang (+1.9)	0:1 vs Seongnam (-1.9)
9	Suwon Bluewings	33	34	41.0	-7.0Underperforming −−	9	-1.6	-5.4	1:2 vs Daegu (+2.0)	1:0 vs Incheon (-1.5)
10	Seongnam	33	25	33.0	-8.1Underperforming −−	12	-4.5	-3.6	2:0 vs Ulsan HD (+2.4)	1:4 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.4)
11	Daegu	33	35	43.2	-8.2Underperforming −−	6	+1.4	-9.7	3:0 vs Seoul (+1.6)	1:2 vs Suwon Bluewings (-1.8)
12	Gimcheon Sangmu	33	34	42.3	-8.3Underperforming −−	7	-3.7	-4.5	0:1 vs Gangwon (+2.0)	0:1 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)