K League 1 2021 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. K League 1 splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Incheon | 33 | 40 | 32.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 12 | +4.5 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Pohang (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Seongnam (-1.3) |
2 | Ulsan HD | 33 | 64 | 58.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.3 | +0.5 | 2:4 vs Jeonbuk (+1.7) | 2:5 vs Suwon FC (-2.0) |
3 | Jeonbuk | 33 | 64 | 58.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.0 | +1.7 | 1:3 vs Pohang (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Pohang (-1.9) |
4 | Suwon FC | 33 | 45 | 41.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 8 | +2.1 | +1.7 | 2:5 vs Ulsan HD (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Gwangju FC (-1.9) |
5 | Daegu | 33 | 49 | 47.7 | +1.3On expectation | 5 | +1.8 | -0.5 | 2:1 vs Ulsan HD (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Gwangju FC (-1.9) |
6 | Suwon Bluewings | 33 | 45 | 45.6 | -0.7On expectation | 6 | -5.1 | +4.5 | 1:3 vs Jeonbuk (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Incheon (-1.8) |
7 | Seongnam | 33 | 37 | 38.6 | -1.6On expectation | 10 | +2.7 | -4.3 | 2:1 vs Ulsan HD (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Incheon (-1.8) |
8 | Jeju SK | 33 | 45 | 47.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 4 | -3.3 | +0.3 | 1:0 vs Pohang (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Incheon (-1.9) |
9 | Seoul | 33 | 37 | 40.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 9 | -5.4 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Pohang (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Incheon (-1.6) |
10 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 32 | 35.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 11 | -0.6 | -2.8 | 1:2 vs Daegu (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Incheon (-1.5) |
11 | Gangwon | 33 | 37 | 41.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 7 | +2.5 | -6.9 | 0:1 vs Seoul (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Gwangju FC (-1.6) |
12 | Pohang | 33 | 42 | 49.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 3 | -7.1 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs Jeonbuk (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Incheon (-2.1) |
