K League 1 2025 Performance vs Market

Regular phase only. K League 1 splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Jeonbuk	33	71	54.0	+17.0Outperforming ++	2	+5.7	+11.3	0:1 vs Seoul (+1.8)	1:2 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.7)
2	Daejeon	33	55	44.2	+10.8Outperforming ++	7	+3.9	+6.9	2:3 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0)	3:2 vs Anyang (-1.6)
3	Gimcheon Sangmu	33	55	49.5	+5.5Outperforming ++	4	+5.8	-0.3	1:2 vs Jeonbuk (+1.9)	1:2 vs Daegu (-1.8)
4	Pohang	33	51	46.1	+4.9Outperforming	5	+4.2	+0.8	2:3 vs Gwangju FC (+1.9)	1:5 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)
5	Anyang	33	42	38.3	+3.7Outperforming	11	+3.2	+0.5	1:2 vs Seoul (+2.1)	1:2 vs Gwangju FC (-1.4)
6	Gangwon	33	44	42.4	+1.6On expectation	8	-0.3	+1.9	1:2 vs Ulsan HD (+2.1)	1:0 vs Suwon FC (-1.6)
7	Suwon FC	33	38	39.2	-1.2On expectation	9	+4.6	-5.8	2:3 vs Ulsan HD (+2.1)	3:1 vs Daegu (-1.7)
8	Gwangju FC	33	42	44.6	-2.6Underperforming	6	-4.4	+1.8	1:2 vs Seoul (+2.0)	2:3 vs Daegu (-1.7)
9	Jeju SK	33	32	38.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	10	+0.2	-7.0	1:3 vs Seoul (+2.2)	0:3 vs Gangwon (-1.5)
10	Daegu	33	27	34.5	-7.5Underperforming −−	12	-1.7	-5.8	1:2 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (+2.0)	0:1 vs Anyang (-1.7)
11	Seoul	33	45	54.1	-9.1Underperforming −−	1	-5.4	-3.8	0:1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (+1.6)	1:3 vs Jeju SK (-2.0)
12	Ulsan HD	33	40	53.2	-13.2Underperforming −−	3	-5.8	-7.4	0:2 vs Daejeon (+1.7)	2:3 vs Suwon FC (-1.9)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Jeonbuk	33	71	54.0	+17.0Outperforming ++	2	+5.7	+11.3	0:1 vs Seoul (+1.8)	1:2 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (-1.7)
2	Daejeon	33	55	44.2	+10.8Outperforming ++	7	+3.9	+6.9	2:3 vs Ulsan HD (+2.0)	3:2 vs Anyang (-1.6)
3	Gimcheon Sangmu	33	55	49.5	+5.5Outperforming ++	4	+5.8	-0.3	1:2 vs Jeonbuk (+1.9)	1:2 vs Daegu (-1.8)
4	Pohang	33	51	46.1	+4.9Outperforming	5	+4.2	+0.8	2:3 vs Gwangju FC (+1.9)	1:5 vs Suwon FC (-1.7)
5	Anyang	33	42	38.3	+3.7Outperforming	11	+3.2	+0.5	1:2 vs Seoul (+2.1)	1:2 vs Gwangju FC (-1.4)
6	Gangwon	33	44	42.4	+1.6On expectation	8	-0.3	+1.9	1:2 vs Ulsan HD (+2.1)	1:0 vs Suwon FC (-1.6)
7	Suwon FC	33	38	39.2	-1.2On expectation	9	+4.6	-5.8	2:3 vs Ulsan HD (+2.1)	3:1 vs Daegu (-1.7)
8	Gwangju FC	33	42	44.6	-2.6Underperforming	6	-4.4	+1.8	1:2 vs Seoul (+2.0)	2:3 vs Daegu (-1.7)
9	Jeju SK	33	32	38.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	10	+0.2	-7.0	1:3 vs Seoul (+2.2)	0:3 vs Gangwon (-1.5)
10	Daegu	33	27	34.5	-7.5Underperforming −−	12	-1.7	-5.8	1:2 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (+2.0)	0:1 vs Anyang (-1.7)
11	Seoul	33	45	54.1	-9.1Underperforming −−	1	-5.4	-3.8	0:1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (+1.6)	1:3 vs Jeju SK (-2.0)
12	Ulsan HD	33	40	53.2	-13.2Underperforming −−	3	-5.8	-7.4	0:2 vs Daejeon (+1.7)	2:3 vs Suwon FC (-1.9)