Prva ligahub →Prva liga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Koper | 14 | 28 | 23.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 3 | +0.6 | +4.4 | 0:1 vs Celje (+1.9) | 1:3 vs O. Ljubljana (-1.4) |
2 | Nafta | 14 | 18 | 15.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 9 | +1.6 | +1.0 | 0:3 vs Bravo (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Celje (-1.2) |
3 | Bravo | 15 | 21 | 19.6 | +1.4On expectation | 5 | +1.0 | +0.4 | 2:1 vs Celje (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Nafta (-1.8) |
4 | Aluminij | 15 | 18 | 17.1 | +0.9On expectation | 7 | -1.1 | +2.1 | 1:6 vs Mura (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Koper (-1.1) |
5 | O. Ljubljana | 15 | 25 | 24.7 | +0.3On expectation | 2 | +0.9 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Maribor (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Bravo (-1.8) |
6 | Maribor | 15 | 25 | 27.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 1 | -2.2 | -0.3 | 2:0 vs Koper (+1.3) | 0:1 vs O. Ljubljana (-1.5) |
7 | Celje | 13 | 20 | 22.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 4 | +0.0 | -2.7 | 1:0 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Bravo (-1.9) |
8 | Grosuplje | 15 | 13 | 16.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 8 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 4:1 vs Celje (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Nafta (-1.5) |
9 | Mura | 15 | 14 | 17.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 6 | -3.6 | -0.0 | 1:0 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Radomlje (-1.6) |
10 | Radomlje | 13 | 8 | 14.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.8 | -1.2 | 1:3 vs Mura (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Grosuplje (-1.5) |