Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mura | 2 | 4 | 1.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 8 | +1.8 | +0.5 | 1:0 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.8) | 2:2 vs Celje (0.5) |
2 | Nafta | 2 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 9 | -0.8 | +2.1 | 0:3 vs Bravo (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Koper (-0.8) |
3 | Grosuplje | 2 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1On expectation | 7 | 0.0 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Radomlje (+1.7) | 3:0 vs Maribor (-0.7) |
4 | Bravo | 2 | 3 | 2.8 | +0.2On expectation | 4 | -1.8 | +2.0 | 0:2 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Nafta (-1.8) |
5 | Aluminij | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 10 | +0.2 | 0.0 | 0:0 vs Maribor (+0.2) | 0:0 vs Maribor (0.2) |
6 | Maribor | 2 | 4 | 4.1 | -0.1On expectation | 2 | +0.9 | -1.0 | 3:0 vs Grosuplje (+0.9) | 0:0 vs Aluminij (-1.0) |
7 | Koper | 2 | 4 | 4.2 | -0.1On expectation | 1 | -1.1 | +1.0 | 0:2 vs Nafta (+1.0) | 2:2 vs Radomlje (-1.1) |
8 | Radomlje | 2 | 1 | 2.2 | -1.2On expectation | 6 | -1.5 | +0.3 | 2:2 vs Koper (+0.3) | 0:2 vs Grosuplje (-1.5) |
9 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3On expectation | 5 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 2:2 vs Mura (+-1.3) | 2:2 vs Mura (-1.3) |
10 | O. Ljubljana | 2 | 0 | 3.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 3 | -1.8 | -1.6 | 1:0 vs Mura (+-1.6) | 0:2 vs Bravo (-1.8) |