Prva ligahub →Prva liga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nafta | 9 | 13 | 9.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 8 | +0.5 | +2.8 | 0:3 vs Bravo (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Celje (-1.2) |
2 | Koper | 8 | 15 | 13.1 | +1.9On expectation | 3 | -1.9 | +3.9 | 0:1 vs Celje (+1.9) | 2:2 vs Radomlje (-1.1) |
3 | Bravo | 9 | 13 | 11.9 | +1.1On expectation | 5 | -1.1 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Nafta (-1.8) |
4 | Maribor | 9 | 17 | 17.1 | -0.1On expectation | 1 | +0.9 | -1.0 | 2:0 vs Koper (+1.3) | 1:1 vs Mura (-1.1) |
5 | Mura | 9 | 9 | 9.6 | -0.6On expectation | 9 | -1.0 | +0.3 | 1:0 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Radomlje (-1.7) |
6 | Aluminij | 9 | 10 | 10.8 | -0.8On expectation | 6 | -1.5 | +0.8 | 1:3 vs Radomlje (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Koper (-1.1) |
7 | Celje | 7 | 11 | 12.2 | -1.2On expectation | 4 | -1.8 | +0.7 | 1:0 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.6) | 4:1 vs Grosuplje (-1.8) |
8 | O. Ljubljana | 9 | 14 | 15.6 | -1.6On expectation | 2 | +2.2 | -3.8 | 1:0 vs Aluminij (+1.1) | 0:2 vs Bravo (-1.8) |
9 | Grosuplje | 10 | 8 | 10.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 7 | -0.8 | -1.6 | 4:1 vs Celje (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Nafta (-1.5) |
10 | Radomlje | 7 | 5 | 7.8 | -2.9Underperforming | 10 | -3.9 | +1.1 | 1:3 vs Mura (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Grosuplje (-1.5) |