Prva ligahub →Prva liga 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bravo | 34 | 62 | 48.5 | +13.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.9 | +8.6 | 2:3 vs Celje (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Radomlje (-2.0) |
2 | Radomlje | 34 | 45 | 33.6 | +11.4Outperforming ++ | 9 | +7.6 | +3.8 | 2:1 vs Maribor (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Aluminij (-1.4) |
3 | Koper | 34 | 67 | 56.2 | +10.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +10.8 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Celje (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Radomlje (-2.0) |
4 | Celje | 34 | 74 | 68.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.6 | +3.2 | 1:2 vs Maribor (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Mura (-2.1) |
5 | Aluminij | 34 | 36 | 34.3 | +1.7On expectation | 8 | +0.8 | +0.9 | 2:3 vs Maribor (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Radomlje (-1.6) |
6 | Nafta | 2 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0On expectation | 11 | +1.4 | -0.3 | 1:0 vs Primorje (+1.4) | 0:0 vs Primorje (-0.3) |
7 | O. Ljubljana | 34 | 55 | 57.0 | -2.0On expectation | 3 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0:3 vs Maribor (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Domzale (-2.3) |
8 | Domzale | 18 | 12 | 16.1 | -4.0Underperforming | 10 | -0.6 | -3.4 | 1:2 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.4) | 2:0 vs Radomlje (-1.3) |
9 | Mura | 34 | 31 | 38.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 6 | +1.3 | -8.5 | 2:1 vs Celje (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Aluminij (-1.6) |
10 | Maribor | 34 | 53 | 61.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 2 | -0.9 | -7.4 | 2:3 vs Bravo (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Aluminij (-2.3) |
11 | Primorje | 36 | 23 | 36.5 | -13.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -0.5 | -13.1 | 2:1 vs Koper (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Radomlje (-1.9) |