Prva ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Koper | 36 | 67 | 52.9 | +14.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | +1.2 | +12.9 | 1:3 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Radomlje (-2.2) |
2 | Radomlje | 36 | 46 | 38.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 9 | -4.1 | +11.3 | 2:3 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Tabor Sezana (-1.5) |
3 | Maribor | 36 | 70 | 65.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 1 | +3.4 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Celje (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Bravo (-2.1) |
4 | Bravo | 36 | 49 | 44.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 7 | -4.6 | +8.8 | 1:2 vs Maribor (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Radomlje (-1.8) |
5 | O. Ljubljana | 36 | 62 | 58.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 2 | +5.4 | -1.9 | 1:0 vs Maribor (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Radomlje (-2.2) |
6 | Mura | 36 | 57 | 55.8 | +1.2On expectation | 3 | +3.6 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Maribor (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Tabor Sezana (-2.0) |
7 | Domzale | 36 | 45 | 47.0 | -2.0On expectation | 6 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 2:0 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Bravo (-1.7) |
8 | Celje | 36 | 42 | 50.5 | -8.4Underperforming −− | 5 | +0.6 | -9.1 | 2:4 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Radomlje (-1.8) |
9 | Tabor Sezana | 36 | 30 | 40.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -9.8 | -0.3 | 0:3 vs Mura (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Radomlje (-1.8) |
10 | Aluminij | 36 | 24 | 37.5 | -13.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -5.8 | -7.7 | 3:0 vs Maribor (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Radomlje (-1.5) |
