Prva ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celje | 36 | 79 | 67.5 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.5 | +7.0 | 2:4 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Domzale (-2.3) |
2 | Bravo | 36 | 50 | 45.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 5 | +2.5 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Domzale (-1.8) |
3 | Domzale | 36 | 43 | 41.5 | +1.4On expectation | 7 | -2.5 | +4.0 | 2:3 vs Celje (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Mura (-1.6) |
4 | Maribor | 36 | 67 | 66.2 | +0.8On expectation | 3 | +10.3 | -9.5 | 1:2 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Aluminij (-1.9) |
5 | Mura | 36 | 43 | 42.2 | +0.8On expectation | 6 | -2.4 | +3.2 | 3:0 vs Maribor (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Radomlje (-1.8) |
6 | Rogaska | 36 | 36 | 37.2 | -1.2On expectation | 9 | -3.8 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Koper (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Aluminij (-1.9) |
7 | O. Ljubljana | 36 | 64 | 67.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 2 | -7.4 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs Celje (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Bravo (-1.9) |
8 | Aluminij | 36 | 31 | 34.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 10 | -7.0 | +3.1 | 1:3 vs Celje (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Domzale (-2.3) |
9 | Koper | 36 | 48 | 52.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 4 | -2.4 | -2.1 | 0:1 vs Maribor (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Rogaska (-1.9) |
10 | Radomlje | 36 | 33 | 40.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -8.2 | +0.9 | 0:2 vs Mura (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Rogaska (-1.8) |
