Prva ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | O. Ljubljana | 36 | 73 | 60.4 | +12.6Outperforming ++ | 2 | +11.3 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Maribor (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Domzale (-2.0) |
2 | Celje | 36 | 67 | 58.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.9 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs Koper (+1.7) | 0:1 vs ND Gorica (-2.0) |
3 | Domzale | 36 | 52 | 46.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | -1.9 | +7.0 | 1:4 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Tabor Sezana (-1.9) |
4 | Radomlje | 36 | 44 | 39.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 8 | +0.0 | +4.8 | 1:2 vs Koper (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Tabor Sezana (-1.3) |
5 | Maribor | 36 | 62 | 61.0 | +1.1On expectation | 1 | +0.8 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Mura (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Radomlje (-1.8) |
6 | Mura | 36 | 52 | 52.4 | -0.4On expectation | 5 | +1.7 | -2.1 | 2:1 vs Maribor (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Domzale (-1.6) |
7 | Koper | 36 | 50 | 53.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 4 | -5.1 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Maribor (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Radomlje (-2.0) |
8 | ND Gorica | 36 | 27 | 37.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 9 | -5.2 | -5.0 | 0:1 vs Celje (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Domzale (-1.3) |
9 | Bravo | 36 | 36 | 46.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 7 | -1.3 | -9.4 | 1:0 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Radomlje (-1.7) |
10 | Tabor Sezana | 36 | 24 | 35.9 | -11.9Underperforming −− | 10 | -9.5 | -2.4 | 0:4 vs Domzale (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Radomlje (-1.6) |
