Prva ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Koper | 36 | 66 | 52.5 | +13.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.0 | +11.5 | 0:1 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Primorje (-2.0) |
2 | Primorje | 36 | 43 | 34.6 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 10 | +5.6 | +2.8 | 0:3 vs Celje (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Domzale (-1.4) |
3 | Bravo | 36 | 55 | 52.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 5 | +2.8 | +0.2 | 2:3 vs Maribor (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Primorje (-1.8) |
4 | O. Ljubljana | 36 | 74 | 71.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 1 | +2.2 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Celje (+1.6) | 3:1 vs Domzale (-2.3) |
5 | Maribor | 36 | 67 | 66.0 | +1.0On expectation | 3 | +3.9 | -2.9 | 1:2 vs O. Ljubljana (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Nafta (-2.3) |
6 | Radomlje | 36 | 35 | 37.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 7 | +2.6 | -5.5 | 4:2 vs Celje (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Primorje (-1.6) |
7 | Celje | 36 | 61 | 66.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 2 | -4.9 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Maribor (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Primorje (-2.2) |
8 | Nafta | 36 | 28 | 34.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 9 | +0.3 | -7.2 | 0:1 vs Maribor (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Primorje (-1.8) |
9 | Domzale | 36 | 29 | 35.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.9 | -3.0 | 3:1 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.5) | 5:2 vs Nafta (-1.5) |
10 | Mura | 36 | 35 | 42.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 6 | -0.8 | -6.7 | 1:0 vs Celje (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Domzale (-1.8) |
