Prva ligahub →Prva liga 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mura | 36 | 63 | 58.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 3 | +2.2 | +2.3 | 1:3 vs Maribor (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Aluminij (-2.1) |
2 | Aluminij | 36 | 43 | 38.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 9 | +3.0 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Mura (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Domzale (-1.3) |
3 | Domzale | 36 | 55 | 53.1 | +1.9On expectation | 4 | +4.0 | -2.1 | 1:3 vs Maribor (+2.0) | 2:1 vs ND Gorica (-2.1) |
4 | Tabor Sezana | 36 | 44 | 42.2 | +1.8On expectation | 8 | +5.3 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.2) | 0:1 vs ND Gorica (-1.9) |
5 | Bravo | 36 | 45 | 44.5 | +0.5On expectation | 7 | +5.6 | -5.1 | 2:1 vs Mura (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Aluminij (-1.7) |
6 | O. Ljubljana | 36 | 59 | 59.2 | -0.2On expectation | 2 | +6.3 | -6.5 | 0:1 vs Mura (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Tabor Sezana (-2.0) |
7 | Koper | 36 | 42 | 45.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 6 | +1.0 | -4.3 | 1:2 vs O. Ljubljana (+2.1) | 2:1 vs ND Gorica (-1.7) |
8 | Maribor | 36 | 63 | 67.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 1 | -3.0 | -1.0 | 0:2 vs Celje (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Celje (-2.0) |
9 | ND Gorica | 36 | 29 | 34.6 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.5 | -4.1 | 2:1 vs Domzale (+2.3) | 2:4 vs Koper (-1.3) |
10 | Celje | 36 | 43 | 48.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.8 | -2.1 | 0:1 vs Maribor (+2.3) | 0:1 vs ND Gorica (-1.8) |