League Twohub →League Two 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stranraer | 8 | 16 | 11.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 4 | +2.5 | +1.9 | 1:5 vs Elgin City (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Annan (-1.7) |
2 | Clyde | 8 | 17 | 13.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 2 | +5.0 | -1.3 | 1:2 vs Annan (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Dumbarton (-1.7) |
3 | Edinburgh City | 8 | 14 | 11.2 | +2.9Outperforming | 6 | +0.2 | +2.6 | 0:3 vs Dumbarton (+1.8) | 0:5 vs Elgin City (-1.6) |
4 | Forfar Athletic | 8 | 11 | 8.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 10 | +4.0 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs Kelty Hearts (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Stranraer (-1.3) |
5 | Dumbarton | 8 | 9 | 8.6 | +0.4On expectation | 9 | +4.5 | -4.1 | 3:0 vs Spartans (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Edinburgh City (-1.5) |
6 | Elgin City | 8 | 11 | 12.2 | -1.2On expectation | 3 | +0.2 | -1.4 | 0:5 vs Edinburgh City (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Dumbarton (-1.7) |
7 | Spartans | 8 | 12 | 13.4 | -1.4On expectation | 1 | -0.9 | -0.5 | 2:4 vs Annan (+1.5) | 3:0 vs Dumbarton (-1.8) |
8 | Annan | 8 | 9 | 10.5 | -1.5On expectation | 7 | +0.4 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs Stranraer (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.5) |
9 | Kelty Hearts | 8 | 9 | 11.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 5 | +2.7 | -5.1 | 2:1 vs Annan (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.6) |
10 | Stirling | 8 | 5 | 9.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 8 | +0.1 | -4.4 | 2:0 vs Dumbarton (+1.6) | 3:0 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.3) |