League Twohub →League Two 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stranraer | 9 | 17 | 13.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 4 | +1.9 | +1.9 | 1:5 vs Elgin City (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Annan (-1.7) |
2 | Edinburgh City | 9 | 15 | 12.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 7 | +0.2 | +2.5 | 0:3 vs Dumbarton (+1.8) | 0:5 vs Elgin City (-1.6) |
3 | Clyde | 9 | 17 | 14.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 2 | +5.0 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Annan (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Dumbarton (-1.7) |
4 | Dumbarton | 9 | 12 | 10.2 | +1.8On expectation | 8 | +5.8 | -4.1 | 3:0 vs Spartans (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Edinburgh City (-1.5) |
5 | Forfar Athletic | 9 | 11 | 9.6 | +1.4On expectation | 10 | +4.0 | -2.6 | 1:0 vs Kelty Hearts (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Stranraer (-1.3) |
6 | Elgin City | 9 | 14 | 13.6 | +0.4On expectation | 3 | +1.8 | -1.4 | 0:5 vs Edinburgh City (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Dumbarton (-1.7) |
7 | Kelty Hearts | 9 | 12 | 12.4 | -0.4On expectation | 5 | +2.7 | -3.0 | 0:2 vs Spartans (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.6) |
8 | Stirling | 9 | 8 | 10.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 9 | +0.1 | -2.3 | 0:1 vs Annan (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.3) |
9 | Spartans | 9 | 12 | 15.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 1 | -2.8 | -0.4 | 2:4 vs Annan (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Kelty Hearts (-1.9) |
10 | Annan | 9 | 9 | 12.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 6 | -1.4 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs Stranraer (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Stirling (-1.9) |