League Twohub →League Two 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stranraer | 13 | 27 | 19.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.5 | +5.3 | 1:5 vs Elgin City (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Annan (-1.7) |
2 | Clyde | 13 | 27 | 21.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.4 | -2.9 | 1:2 vs Annan (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Dumbarton (-1.7) |
3 | Edinburgh City | 13 | 20 | 17.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 6 | +0.2 | +2.1 | 0:3 vs Dumbarton (+1.8) | 0:5 vs Elgin City (-1.6) |
4 | Dumbarton | 13 | 16 | 14.4 | +1.6On expectation | 9 | +5.5 | -3.9 | 0:2 vs Elgin City (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Edinburgh City (-1.5) |
5 | Elgin City | 13 | 21 | 20.6 | +0.4On expectation | 3 | -0.9 | +1.3 | 0:5 vs Edinburgh City (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Dumbarton (-1.9) |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 18 | 17.8 | +0.2On expectation | 5 | +2.8 | -2.6 | 0:2 vs Spartans (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.6) |
7 | Stirling | 13 | 15 | 15.7 | -0.7On expectation | 8 | +3.0 | -3.6 | 0:1 vs Annan (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.3) |
8 | Forfar Athletic | 13 | 12 | 14.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 10 | +2.8 | -4.8 | 1:0 vs Kelty Hearts (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Stranraer (-1.3) |
9 | Spartans | 13 | 18 | 21.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 2 | -3.1 | +0.1 | 1:3 vs Edinburgh City (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Kelty Hearts (-1.9) |
10 | Annan | 13 | 9 | 16.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.0 | -3.6 | 0:1 vs Stranraer (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Stirling (-1.7) |