League Twohub →League Two 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spartans | 36 | 64 | 60.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 2 | -0.9 | +4.6 | 1:3 vs East Kilbride (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Stirling (-2.0) |
2 | East Kilbride | 36 | 69 | 65.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 1 | +0.7 | +3.0 | 1:3 vs Clyde (+1.6) | 1:3 vs Annan (-1.9) |
3 | Forfar Athletic | 36 | 50 | 47.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 6 | +6.0 | -3.0 | 4:2 vs Elgin City (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Dumbarton (-1.6) |
4 | Stranraer | 36 | 47 | 44.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 8 | -3.5 | +6.3 | 0:4 vs Spartans (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Elgin City (-1.6) |
5 | Stirling | 36 | 38 | 36.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 10 | -3.3 | +5.3 | 1:3 vs Spartans (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.3) |
6 | Clyde | 36 | 56 | 54.8 | +1.2On expectation | 3 | +2.9 | -1.7 | 1:4 vs Edinburgh City (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Stirling (-2.0) |
7 | Edinburgh City | 36 | 39 | 41.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 9 | -8.9 | +6.7 | 5:0 vs Dumbarton (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Stranraer (-2.0) |
8 | Dumbarton | 36 | 40 | 46.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -0.8 | -6.0 | 2:0 vs East Kilbride (+2.1) | 5:0 vs Edinburgh City (-2.1) |
9 | Elgin City | 36 | 44 | 50.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 4 | -0.9 | -6.1 | 1:2 vs Stranraer (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Stranraer (-1.7) |
10 | Annan | 36 | 41 | 48.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 5 | +0.7 | -8.0 | 1:3 vs East Kilbride (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Stirling (-1.5) |