League Twohub →League Two 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stenhousemuir | 36 | 68 | 57.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.3 | +7.8 | 0:1 vs Spartans (+1.9) | 1:6 vs Clyde (-2.0) |
2 | Peterhead | 36 | 60 | 53.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.0 | -1.1 | 0:3 vs East Fife (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Elgin City (-1.9) |
3 | Spartans | 36 | 58 | 54.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 3 | -5.8 | +9.7 | 1:2 vs East Fife (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Elgin City (-2.0) |
4 | Elgin City | 36 | 40 | 36.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 10 | +9.1 | -5.8 | 1:2 vs Spartans (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Stranraer (-1.3) |
5 | Dumbarton | 36 | 57 | 58.0 | -1.0On expectation | 1 | +1.3 | -2.3 | 2:6 vs Spartans (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Elgin City (-1.8) |
6 | East Fife | 36 | 44 | 48.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 5 | -5.0 | +0.4 | 1:2 vs Dumbarton (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Spartans (-1.8) |
7 | Clyde | 36 | 38 | 43.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 9 | -1.0 | -4.0 | 1:6 vs Stenhousemuir (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Elgin City (-1.5) |
8 | Forfar Athletic | 36 | 42 | 48.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -3.5 | -2.7 | 1:2 vs Peterhead (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Bonnyrigg Rose (-1.5) |
9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 36 | 39 | 47.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.1 | -4.0 | 1:4 vs East Fife (+1.9) | 0:2 vs East Fife (-1.6) |
10 | Stranraer | 36 | 36 | 45.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 8 | +2.3 | -11.3 | 2:0 vs Peterhead (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Elgin City (-1.6) |