League Twohub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stirling | 36 | 73 | 60.7 | +12.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +10.1 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Annan (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Annan (-2.0) |
2 | Dumbarton | 36 | 62 | 54.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.8 | +3.0 | 0:2 vs Bonnyrigg Rose (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Elgin City (-1.9) |
3 | East Fife | 36 | 50 | 46.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 6 | -1.3 | +5.2 | 1:3 vs Forfar Athletic (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Albion Rovers (-1.6) |
4 | Stranraer | 36 | 45 | 45.3 | -0.3On expectation | 8 | +7.7 | -8.0 | 3:2 vs Dumbarton (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Bonnyrigg Rose (-1.7) |
5 | Forfar Athletic | 36 | 48 | 50.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 5 | -1.4 | -0.7 | 0:2 vs Annan (+1.9) | 1:3 vs East Fife (-1.7) |
6 | Annan | 36 | 51 | 53.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 3 | -0.5 | -1.9 | 0:2 vs Stirling (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Elgin City (-1.7) |
7 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 36 | 42 | 45.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 7 | -4.2 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Stranraer (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Albion Rovers (-2.1) |
8 | Stenhousemuir | 36 | 47 | 50.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 4 | -2.3 | -1.3 | 2:3 vs Annan (+1.9) | 1:2 vs East Fife (-1.6) |
9 | Albion Rovers | 36 | 39 | 42.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 10 | -2.5 | -1.3 | 0:2 vs Bonnyrigg Rose (+2.3) | 0:1 vs East Fife (-1.6) |
10 | Elgin City | 36 | 40 | 44.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 9 | -2.6 | -1.4 | 1:2 vs Dumbarton (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Bonnyrigg Rose (-1.6) |
