League Twohub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Edinburgh City | 36 | 56 | 37.4 | +18.6Outperforming ++ | 10 | +11.2 | +7.4 | 2:3 vs Peterhead (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Stranraer (-1.8) |
2 | Peterhead | 36 | 66 | 59.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +9.4 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs Bonnyrigg Rose (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Edinburgh City (-2.2) |
3 | Elgin City | 36 | 55 | 49.3 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +7.0 | -1.2 | 4:0 vs Peterhead (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Stirling (-1.8) |
4 | East Fife | 36 | 65 | 59.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +9.1 | -3.5 | 0:4 vs Stirling (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Stranraer (-2.0) |
5 | Stirling | 36 | 48 | 44.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 8 | +3.6 | +0.3 | 0:2 vs Clyde (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Edinburgh City (-1.9) |
6 | Spartans | 36 | 52 | 51.5 | +0.5On expectation | 4 | +4.6 | -4.1 | 0:2 vs Clyde (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Edinburgh City (-1.9) |
7 | Stranraer | 36 | 40 | 41.9 | -1.9On expectation | 9 | -2.1 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs East Fife (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Stirling (-1.5) |
8 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 36 | 42 | 46.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 7 | +1.1 | -6.1 | 0:2 vs Forfar Athletic (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.6) |
9 | Clyde | 36 | 43 | 52.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 3 | +1.0 | -10.6 | 0:1 vs Forfar Athletic (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Stirling (-1.9) |
10 | Forfar Athletic | 36 | 36 | 49.4 | -13.4Underperforming −− | 5 | -10.6 | -2.7 | 0:1 vs Bonnyrigg Rose (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Edinburgh City (-2.1) |
