League Twohub →League Two 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Queen's Park | 18 | 48 | 38.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.9 | +6.9 | 0:1 vs Elgin City (+1.4) | 0:0 vs Elgin City (-1.3) |
2 | Edinburgh City | 18 | 35 | 30.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 2 | -3.0 | +8.0 | 0:1 vs Stirling (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Cowdenbeath (-2.0) |
3 | Stirling | 18 | 32 | 28.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 4 | -1.1 | +4.4 | 2:3 vs Edinburgh City (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Stranraer (-1.6) |
4 | Stranraer | 18 | 31 | 28.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 5 | +0.7 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Edinburgh City (+1.9) | 1:4 vs Elgin City (-1.5) |
5 | Albion Rovers | 18 | 18 | 15.4 | +2.5Outperforming | 9 | -3.5 | +6.0 | 3:1 vs Elgin City (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Brechin (-1.5) |
6 | Elgin City | 18 | 29 | 29.1 | -0.1On expectation | 3 | +0.4 | -0.5 | 1:4 vs Stranraer (+1.7) | 3:1 vs Albion Rovers (-2.2) |
7 | Stenhousemuir | 18 | 22 | 24.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 6 | +3.4 | -6.2 | 2:0 vs Edinburgh City (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Annan (-1.7) |
8 | Annan | 18 | 17 | 22.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.6 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Stenhousemuir (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Albion Rovers (-1.9) |
9 | Cowdenbeath | 18 | 14 | 19.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -2.6 | -2.7 | 0:1 vs Edinburgh City (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Albion Rovers (-1.5) |
10 | Brechin | 18 | 6 | 12.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.2 | -2.6 | 0:2 vs Albion Rovers (+1.7) | 2:4 vs Albion Rovers (-1.2) |