League Twohub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Annan | 36 | 59 | 48.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | -1.7 | +11.8 | 5:1 vs Kelty Hearts (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Cowdenbeath (-1.8) |
2 | Edinburgh City | 36 | 52 | 43.0 | +9.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +2.6 | +6.3 | 2:3 vs Forfar Athletic (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Albion Rovers (-1.8) |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 81 | 73.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.6 | +1.9 | 0:3 vs Stranraer (+1.4) | 5:1 vs Annan (-1.9) |
4 | Forfar Athletic | 36 | 60 | 56.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 2 | +4.3 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Kelty Hearts (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Edinburgh City (-1.9) |
5 | Stenhousemuir | 36 | 49 | 47.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 7 | -6.4 | +8.5 | 3:4 vs Forfar Athletic (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Cowdenbeath (-1.9) |
6 | Albion Rovers | 36 | 39 | 39.1 | -0.1On expectation | 9 | -1.6 | +1.5 | 0:4 vs Edinburgh City (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cowdenbeath (-1.6) |
7 | Stranraer | 36 | 47 | 48.1 | -1.1On expectation | 5 | -4.8 | +3.6 | 1:4 vs Stenhousemuir (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Annan (-1.9) |
8 | Stirling | 36 | 42 | 51.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 3 | -7.3 | -2.2 | 0:1 vs Forfar Athletic (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Edinburgh City (-1.8) |
9 | Cowdenbeath | 36 | 29 | 38.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 10 | -7.6 | -2.1 | 0:2 vs Stenhousemuir (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Annan (-1.6) |
10 | Elgin City | 36 | 37 | 47.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.5 | -8.6 | 2:0 vs Kelty Hearts (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Cowdenbeath (-1.8) |
