Championshiphub →Championship 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stenhousemuir | 14 | 23 | 14.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +5.3 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Livingston (+2.3) | 4:3 vs Morton (-1.4) |
2 | Dunfermline | 14 | 25 | 22.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 4 | +2.4 | +0.5 | 1:0 vs Raith (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Livingston (-0.9) |
3 | Raith | 14 | 25 | 22.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 3 | -1.0 | +3.6 | 0:2 vs Inverness (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Inverness (-1.5) |
4 | Partick Thistle | 15 | 31 | 28.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 1 | +0.6 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs Livingston (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Morton (-2.4) |
5 | Morton | 14 | 13 | 13.1 | -0.1On expectation | 10 | -0.8 | +0.6 | 2:3 vs Partick Thistle (+2.6) | 2:1 vs Queen's Park (-1.2) |
6 | Arbroath | 14 | 14 | 15.7 | -1.7On expectation | 7 | +1.7 | -3.4 | 1:0 vs Livingston (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Morton (-1.7) |
7 | Inverness | 14 | 20 | 22.0 | -2.0On expectation | 5 | +0.0 | -2.0 | 0:2 vs Raith (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Queen's Park (-1.9) |
8 | Ayr | 14 | 15 | 17.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 6 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Livingston (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Stenhousemuir (-1.6) |
9 | Livingston | 14 | 21 | 24.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 2 | -3.5 | +0.1 | 0:2 vs Raith (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Stenhousemuir (-2.1) |
10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 10 | 14.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 9 | +0.3 | -4.6 | 2:1 vs Inverness (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Stenhousemuir (-1.4) |