Championshiphub →Championship 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 16 | 5.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 10 | +5.8 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs Livingston (+2.3) | 1:1 vs Raith (0.4) |
2 | Raith | 6 | 13 | 10.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 3 | +1.1 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs Inverness (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Dunfermline (-1.3) |
3 | Arbroath | 6 | 8 | 7.0 | +1.0On expectation | 9 | +1.5 | -0.5 | 1:0 vs Livingston (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Ayr (-1.1) |
4 | Partick Thistle | 7 | 14 | 13.2 | +0.8On expectation | 1 | +2.1 | -1.3 | 2:0 vs Livingston (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Stenhousemuir (-2.0) |
5 | Dunfermline | 6 | 9 | 8.9 | +0.1On expectation | 5 | +1.8 | -1.7 | 1:0 vs Raith (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Livingston (-0.9) |
6 | Queen's Park | 7 | 7 | 7.3 | -0.3On expectation | 7 | +0.5 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Morton (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Stenhousemuir (-1.4) |
7 | Livingston | 6 | 9 | 11.0 | -2.0On expectation | 2 | -0.0 | -1.9 | 2:0 vs Dunfermline (+1.2) | 0:1 vs Stenhousemuir (-2.1) |
8 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 9.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 4 | -2.4 | -0.8 | 1:3 vs Ayr (+1.6) | 3:1 vs Stenhousemuir (-1.8) |
9 | Ayr | 7 | 5 | 8.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 6 | -0.8 | -2.5 | 2:0 vs Arbroath (+1.4) | 1:3 vs Inverness (-1.3) |
10 | Morton | 7 | 1 | 7.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -2.6 | -3.4 | 1:1 vs Ayr (+0.2) | 2:1 vs Queen's Park (-1.2) |