Championshiphub →Championship 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arbroath | 36 | 52 | 43.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | +7.7 | +0.8 | 3:1 vs St Johnstone (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Queen's Park (-1.6) |
2 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 66 | 58.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.2 | -2.7 | 1:3 vs Ross County (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Ross County (-1.6) |
3 | Queen's Park | 36 | 41 | 34.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 10 | +2.7 | +4.2 | 1:2 vs Ross County (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Arbroath (-1.2) |
4 | St Johnstone | 36 | 77 | 70.8 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.9 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Ross County (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Dunfermline (-2.1) |
5 | Dunfermline | 36 | 51 | 48.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 6 | -0.7 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs St Johnstone (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Airdrieonians (-1.9) |
6 | Airdrieonians | 36 | 36 | 37.6 | -1.6On expectation | 9 | -4.5 | +2.8 | 0:3 vs Raith (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Queen's Park (-1.7) |
7 | Morton | 36 | 38 | 41.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 8 | -0.1 | -3.5 | 0:1 vs Ayr (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Airdrieonians (-1.7) |
8 | Raith | 36 | 45 | 53.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 3 | +0.8 | -9.5 | 3:2 vs Ross County (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Airdrieonians (-2.1) |
9 | Ayr | 36 | 39 | 51.5 | -12.5Underperforming −− | 4 | -9.2 | -3.3 | 0:2 vs Raith (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Queen's Park (-1.8) |
10 | Ross County | 36 | 34 | 50.9 | -16.9Underperforming −− | 5 | -7.3 | -9.6 | 2:0 vs Partick Thistle (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Queen's Park (-2.1) |