Championshiphub →Championship 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Morton | 36 | 48 | 38.5 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 9 | +7.0 | +2.6 | 2:3 vs Raith (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Partick Thistle (-1.3) |
2 | Livingston | 36 | 70 | 60.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.9 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Falkirk (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Partick Thistle (-2.0) |
3 | Ayr | 36 | 63 | 57.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.7 | -1.2 | 5:2 vs Falkirk (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Morton (-1.7) |
4 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 55 | 51.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 4 | +3.6 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Livingston (+2.3) | 1:4 vs Dunfermline (-1.7) |
5 | Raith | 36 | 53 | 49.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 5 | +6.0 | -2.7 | 1:3 vs Falkirk (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Morton (-2.0) |
6 | Falkirk | 36 | 73 | 71.7 | +1.3On expectation | 1 | +3.5 | -2.2 | 2:0 vs Ayr (+1.3) | 1:3 vs Raith (-2.1) |
7 | Hamilton | 36 | 36 | 38.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 8 | -1.5 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Dunfermline (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Morton (-1.5) |
8 | Airdrieonians | 36 | 29 | 36.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.5 | -7.7 | 3:0 vs Dunfermline (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Morton (-1.7) |
9 | Queen's Park | 36 | 35 | 42.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -6.3 | -1.0 | 0:4 vs Raith (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Morton (-1.7) |
10 | Dunfermline | 36 | 35 | 45.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 6 | +1.6 | -12.5 | 1:4 vs Partick Thistle (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Hamilton (-1.7) |