Championshiphub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Raith | 36 | 69 | 55.5 | +13.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.4 | +11.1 | 0:1 vs Dundee Utd (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Arbroath (-2.0) |
2 | Airdrieonians | 36 | 52 | 46.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 7 | +6.7 | -0.7 | 0:2 vs Dundee Utd (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Ayr (-1.6) |
3 | Dundee Utd | 36 | 75 | 72.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 1 | -3.9 | +6.6 | 0:5 vs Partick Thistle (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Airdrieonians (-2.2) |
4 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 55 | 55.3 | -0.3On expectation | 3 | +1.4 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Dunfermline (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Arbroath (-2.0) |
5 | Ayr | 36 | 44 | 45.7 | -1.7On expectation | 8 | -3.9 | +2.2 | 0:1 vs Dunfermline (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Morton (-1.6) |
6 | Queen's Park | 36 | 43 | 44.8 | -1.8On expectation | 9 | -6.5 | +4.7 | 1:2 vs Raith (+2.2) | 2:5 vs Ayr (-1.6) |
7 | Dunfermline | 36 | 45 | 47.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 5 | -5.5 | +2.8 | 3:1 vs Dundee Utd (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Ayr (-1.7) |
8 | Morton | 36 | 45 | 48.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 4 | -3.9 | +0.1 | 2:3 vs Dundee Utd (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Arbroath (-1.9) |
9 | Inverness | 36 | 42 | 46.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 6 | -8.8 | +4.0 | 0:2 vs Morton (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Arbroath (-2.0) |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 23 | 30.9 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -6.0 | -1.9 | 3:2 vs Raith (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Inverness (-1.5) |
