Championshiphub →Championship 2021-2022 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arbroath | 36 | 65 | 52.0 | +13.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +6.1 | +6.9 | 0:1 vs Inverness (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Ayr (-1.7) |
2 | Kilmarnock | 36 | 67 | 61.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.5 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Ayr (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Ayr (-2.0) |
3 | Inverness | 36 | 59 | 55.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 2 | +2.2 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Kilmarnock (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Dunfermline (-1.9) |
4 | Morton | 36 | 40 | 40.4 | -0.4On expectation | 9 | -4.5 | +4.0 | 0:1 vs Inverness (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Queen of South (-1.6) |
5 | Raith | 36 | 50 | 50.7 | -0.7On expectation | 5 | -5.1 | +4.4 | 1:3 vs Kilmarnock (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Queen of South (-1.9) |
6 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 52 | 53.6 | -1.6On expectation | 3 | +1.5 | -3.1 | 0:1 vs Kilmarnock (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Morton (-1.8) |
7 | Hamilton | 36 | 42 | 45.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 7 | -5.0 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Inverness (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Morton (-1.7) |
8 | Ayr | 36 | 39 | 42.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 8 | -2.1 | -1.7 | 1:2 vs Kilmarnock (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Queen of South (-1.8) |
9 | Queen of South | 36 | 33 | 38.4 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -5.0 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Dunfermline (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Hamilton (-1.5) |
10 | Dunfermline | 36 | 35 | 48.3 | -13.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -3.5 | -9.8 | 1:2 vs Inverness (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Queen of South (-2.0) |