Championshiphub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Raith | 27 | 43 | 36.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +2.2 | +4.4 | 2:3 vs Hearts (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Queen of South (-2.1) |
2 | Queen of South | 27 | 32 | 30.6 | +1.4On expectation | 8 | -1.5 | +2.9 | 2:3 vs Hearts (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Alloa (-1.8) |
3 | Dundee FC | 27 | 45 | 44.4 | +0.6On expectation | 2 | +4.2 | -3.6 | 3:1 vs Hearts (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Queen of South (-2.0) |
4 | Morton | 27 | 29 | 29.6 | -0.6On expectation | 9 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Dunfermline (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Arbroath (-1.4) |
5 | Hearts | 27 | 57 | 58.9 | -1.9On expectation | 1 | +2.1 | -4.0 | 0:4 vs Raith (+1.3) | 2:3 vs Raith (-2.4) |
6 | Arbroath | 27 | 30 | 32.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 7 | +3.1 | -5.3 | 2:0 vs Dunfermline (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Alloa (-1.7) |
7 | Dunfermline | 27 | 39 | 41.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 3 | +7.3 | -9.6 | 2:1 vs Hearts (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Morton (-2.0) |
8 | Alloa | 27 | 22 | 24.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 10 | -0.2 | -2.5 | 2:3 vs Queen of South (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Ayr (-1.2) |
9 | Inverness | 27 | 36 | 39.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 4 | -3.1 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Dunfermline (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Queen of South (-1.9) |
10 | Ayr | 27 | 29 | 33.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 6 | -2.6 | -2.2 | 1:3 vs Dundee FC (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Arbroath (-1.4) |
