Championship 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Morton | 36 | 57 | 47.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 5 | +8.4 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Inverness (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Arbroath (-1.7) |
2 | Queen's Park | 36 | 58 | 49.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +6.0 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Arbroath (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Arbroath (-1.9) |
3 | Inverness | 36 | 55 | 47.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 7 | -1.1 | +8.9 | 2:3 vs Dundee FC (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Morton (-1.8) |
4 | Ayr | 36 | 58 | 54.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 3 | -2.2 | +5.5 | 1:3 vs Morton (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Inverness (-1.7) |
5 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 57 | 57.7 | -0.7On expectation | 2 | +3.0 | -3.7 | 1:3 vs Dundee FC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Cove Rangers (-2.1) |
6 | Dundee FC | 36 | 63 | 65.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 1 | -1.6 | -0.8 | 2:3 vs Partick Thistle (+1.6) | 2:4 vs Arbroath (-2.2) |
7 | Raith | 36 | 43 | 47.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 6 | +1.1 | -5.7 | 0:1 vs Arbroath (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Hamilton (-2.1) |
8 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 31 | 38.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -2.4 | -4.6 | 0:1 vs Partick Thistle (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Morton (-1.4) |
9 | Hamilton | 36 | 31 | 38.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -6.7 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Raith (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Queen's Park (-1.4) |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 34 | 45.3 | -11.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -11.1 | -0.1 | 2:4 vs Dundee FC (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Queen's Park (-1.9) |
