Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Krasnodar | 8 | 20 | 14.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.8 | +2.8 | 1:2 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.9) | 2:2 vs Krylya Sovetov (-0.9) |
2 | CSKA Moscow | 8 | 18 | 12.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +1.6 | +3.5 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.2) | 1:1 vs Krylya Sovetov (-1.2) |
3 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 12 | 8.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 13 | +2.2 | +1.7 | 2:1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Rubin Kazan (-1.2) |
4 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 13 | 11.6 | +1.4On expectation | 5 | +2.3 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Baltika (-1.4) |
5 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 11 | 9.9 | +1.1On expectation | 8 | -1.4 | +2.4 | 0:3 vs Akron Togliatti (+1.6) | 1:4 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (-1.5) |
6 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 10 | 9.0 | +1.0On expectation | 11 | -0.6 | +1.6 | 3:1 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (+1.5) | 1:3 vs Krasnodar (-1.1) |
7 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 13 | 12.5 | +0.5On expectation | 4 | -0.7 | +1.2 | 2:0 vs Zenit (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Krasnodar (-1.7) |
8 | Baltika | 7 | 10 | 9.8 | +0.2On expectation | 10 | -1.8 | +2.1 | 2:1 vs Dynamo Moscow (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (-1.7) |
9 | FK Rostov | 8 | 11 | 11.2 | -0.2On expectation | 6 | +1.6 | -1.8 | 2:4 vs Rodina Moscow (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Orenburg (-1.3) |
10 | Orenburg | 8 | 9 | 9.8 | -0.8On expectation | 9 | -0.9 | +0.1 | 2:1 vs FK Rostov (+1.6) | 2:2 vs Akron Togliatti (-0.9) |
11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 7 | 8.7 | -1.7On expectation | 12 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 4:1 vs FK Rostov (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Spartak Moscow (-1.0) |
12 | Akron Togliatti | 8 | 5 | 7.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 15 | -2.9 | +0.3 | 0:0 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+0.3) | 0:3 vs Krylya Sovetov (-1.3) |
13 | Rodina Moscow | 8 | 4 | 7.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 16 | -2.9 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.7) | 2:4 vs FK Rostov (-1.2) |
14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 6 | 10.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 7 | -3.0 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs Baltika (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (-1.6) |
15 | Zenit | 8 | 12 | 16.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 1 | -5.6 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Fakel Voronezh (+1.0) | 1:2 vs Rodina Moscow (-2.6) |
16 | Fakel Voronezh | 8 | 2 | 8.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 14 | -3.0 | -3.1 | 0:0 vs Akhmat Grozny (+-0.3) | 1:2 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (-1.5) |