Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 28 | 20.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.4 | +3.8 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.2) | 3:1 vs Dynamo Moscow (-1.2) |
2 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 25 | 20.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 4 | +4.6 | -0.4 | 2:1 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.7) | 3:1 vs Akron Togliatti (-2.0) |
3 | Orenburg | 13 | 17 | 15.4 | +1.6On expectation | 10 | +0.7 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Akhmat Grozny (+1.9) | 2:2 vs Akron Togliatti (-0.9) |
4 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 16 | 14.8 | +1.2On expectation | 11 | -2.9 | +4.1 | 0:2 vs Rubin Kazan (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Fakel Voronezh (-1.8) |
5 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 13 | 12.1 | +0.9On expectation | 15 | +1.2 | -0.3 | 3:1 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Krylya Sovetov (-1.3) |
6 | Krasnodar | 13 | 24 | 23.2 | +0.8On expectation | 2 | -0.5 | +1.4 | 1:2 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Zenit (-1.3) |
7 | FK Rostov | 13 | 18 | 17.4 | +0.6On expectation | 6 | +3.3 | -2.7 | 2:4 vs Rodina Moscow (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Orenburg (-1.3) |
8 | Zenit | 13 | 27 | 26.7 | +0.3On expectation | 1 | -3.6 | +3.9 | 2:3 vs Krasnodar (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Rodina Moscow (-2.6) |
9 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 23 | 22.8 | +0.3On expectation | 3 | +1.7 | -1.4 | 2:0 vs Zenit (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Krasnodar (-1.7) |
10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 13 | 13.5 | -0.5On expectation | 13 | +0.5 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Rubin Kazan (-1.2) |
11 | Baltika | 12 | 14 | 16.0 | -2.0On expectation | 8 | -3.4 | +1.4 | 2:1 vs Dynamo Moscow (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (-1.7) |
12 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 12 | 14.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 12 | -3.0 | +0.7 | 3:1 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Krylya Sovetov (-1.5) |
13 | Rodina Moscow | 12 | 9 | 11.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 16 | -3.4 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.7) | 2:4 vs FK Rostov (-1.2) |
14 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 11 | 15.4 | -4.5Underperforming | 9 | -1.0 | -3.4 | 4:1 vs FK Rostov (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Orenburg (-1.7) |
15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 11 | 16.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.9 | -1.3 | 0:1 vs Baltika (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (-1.6) |
16 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 6 | 13.4 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 14 | -5.9 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Krylya Sovetov (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Rodina Moscow (-1.6) |