Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 10 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Fakel Voronezh (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Fakel Voronezh (1.8) |
2 | Orenburg | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 8 | +1.6 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs FK Rostov (+1.6) | 2:1 vs FK Rostov (1.6) |
3 | Krasnodar | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 6 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 1:3 vs Rubin Kazan (+1.4) | 1:3 vs Rubin Kazan (1.4) |
4 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 5 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Baltika (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Baltika (1.3) |
5 | Zenit | 1 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7On expectation | 2 | 0.0 | +0.7 | 0:5 vs Akron Togliatti (+0.7) | 0:5 vs Akron Togliatti (0.7) |
6 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7On expectation | 1 | +0.7 | 0.0 | 3:0 vs Rodina Moscow (+0.7) | 3:0 vs Rodina Moscow (0.7) |
7 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4On expectation | 14 | 0.0 | +0.4 | 0:0 vs Dynamo Moscow (+0.4) | 0:0 vs Dynamo Moscow (0.4) |
8 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 13 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+0.1) | 1:1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (0.1) |
9 | Rodina Moscow | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 3:0 vs Spartak Moscow (+-0.5) | 3:0 vs Spartak Moscow (-0.5) |
10 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5On expectation | 15 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0:5 vs Zenit (+-0.5) | 0:5 vs Zenit (-0.5) |
11 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9On expectation | 4 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Akhmat Grozny (+-0.9) | 1:1 vs Akhmat Grozny (-0.9) |
12 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 12 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs CSKA Moscow (+-1.0) | 2:1 vs CSKA Moscow (-1.0) |
13 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 11 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1:3 vs Krasnodar (+-1.1) | 1:3 vs Krasnodar (-1.1) |
14 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | -1.2On expectation | 3 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0:0 vs Krylya Sovetov (+-1.2) | 0:0 vs Krylya Sovetov (-1.2) |
15 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 9 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 2:1 vs Orenburg (+-1.3) | 2:1 vs Orenburg (-1.3) |
16 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 7 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1:2 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (+-1.5) | 1:2 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (-1.5) |