Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sochi | 30 | 56 | 47.0 | +9.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.9 | +8.1 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Rubin Kazan (-2.1) |
2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 30 | 48 | 40.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 9 | +7.3 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Krylya Sovetov (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Ural (-1.9) |
3 | Krasnodar | 30 | 50 | 44.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.7 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Krylya Sovetov (-2.1) |
4 | Pari NN | 30 | 33 | 27.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 16 | -0.7 | +6.2 | 1:2 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Arsenal Tula (-1.5) |
5 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 53 | 51.1 | +1.9On expectation | 2 | -3.4 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Sochi (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Pari NN (-2.4) |
6 | Ural | 30 | 33 | 31.7 | +1.3On expectation | 14 | -2.8 | +4.1 | 2:3 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Khimki (-1.8) |
7 | FK Rostov | 30 | 38 | 37.0 | +1.1On expectation | 10 | -0.7 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Pari NN (-1.9) |
8 | Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 42 | 41.3 | +0.7On expectation | 7 | +3.4 | -2.7 | 1:2 vs Krylya Sovetov (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Rubin Kazan (-1.8) |
9 | Krylya Sovetov | 30 | 41 | 41.0 | -0.1On expectation | 8 | +0.1 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Krasnodar (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (-1.8) |
10 | Khimki | 30 | 32 | 32.0 | -0.1On expectation | 13 | +2.3 | -2.4 | 4:2 vs CSKA Moscow (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Arsenal Tula (-1.7) |
11 | CSKA Moscow | 30 | 50 | 50.4 | -0.4On expectation | 3 | +3.1 | -3.5 | 1:0 vs Dynamo Moscow (+1.7) | 4:2 vs Khimki (-2.1) |
12 | Zenit | 30 | 65 | 65.8 | -0.8On expectation | 1 | +4.4 | -5.2 | 0:2 vs CSKA Moscow (+1.2) | 2:1 vs Arsenal Tula (-2.3) |
13 | Arsenal Tula | 30 | 23 | 27.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 15 | +0.7 | -5.3 | 2:1 vs Zenit (+2.5) | 2:0 vs Ural (-1.4) |
14 | Ufa | 30 | 30 | 35.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 11 | -3.7 | -2.2 | 1:2 vs Krylya Sovetov (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Ural (-1.8) |
15 | Rubin Kazan | 30 | 29 | 35.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 12 | -3.9 | -2.9 | 1:2 vs Sochi (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Pari NN (-1.7) |
16 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 38 | 49.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 4 | -4.4 | -6.6 | 0:2 vs Dynamo Moscow (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Pari NN (-2.2) |
